Trend Explorer
Choose a situation. Verify the actual games—not just a headline.
Customize your comparison Team · situation · sample
Straight up · Atlanta Falcons
Historical results
9–11–0
20 gradeable / 20 selected games
| Game / season | Result / actual | Line / price | Grade | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 · vs SF2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Michael Penix Jr. | Result / actual29–20Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 1ae0a91b5fa8 |
| 2026-10-18 · vs CHI2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Michael Penix Jr. | Result / actual23–31Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput c66904bb1542 |
| 2026-10-12 · vs BAL2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Michael Penix Jr. | Result / actual23–30Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 18dc1054b75d |
| 2026-10-06 · at NO2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Michael Penix Jr. | Result / actual45–24Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 4b189f6d3ea4 |
| 2026-09-25 · at GB2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Michael Penix Jr. | Result / actual35–14Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 82046895499e |
| 2026-09-20 · vs CAR2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Tua Tagovailoa | Result / actual3–34Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 44288ca48e19 |
| 2026-09-13 · at PIT2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Cooper Rush | Result / actual13–20Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 2e167fdf5243 |
| 2026-01-04 · vs NO2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Kirk Cousins | Result / actual19–17Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput e6f49319d7e3 |
| 2025-12-30 · vs LA2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Kirk Cousins | Result / actual27–24Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 808ad197e746 |
| 2025-12-21 · at ARI2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Kirk Cousins | Result / actual26–19Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 439d0a94ce73 |
| 2025-12-12 · at TB2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Kirk Cousins | Result / actual29–28Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 1da8f8334225 |
| 2025-12-07 · vs SEA2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Kirk Cousins | Result / actual9–37Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 639749241f72 |
| 2025-11-30 · at NYJ2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Kirk Cousins | Result / actual24–27Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 2b68acae08aa |
| 2025-11-23 · at NO2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Kirk Cousins | Result / actual24–10Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput c73715e3e8c4 |
| 2025-11-16 · vs CAR2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Michael Penix | Result / actual27–30Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput bad8adf40c4e |
| 2025-11-09 · vs IND2025 REG · neutralStarting QB: Michael Penix | Result / actual25–31Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput ccd69856f8e4 |
| 2025-11-02 · at NE2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Michael Penix | Result / actual23–24Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput deabeab5c227 |
| 2025-10-26 · vs MIA2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Kirk Cousins | Result / actual10–34Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 2afb2da8680f |
| 2025-10-20 · at SF2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Michael Penix | Result / actual10–20Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 9d59f05c1c81 |
| 2025-10-13 · vs BUF2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Michael Penix | Result / actual24–14Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput f44bae418a66 |
Methodology, coverage and 65 exclusions
Conditions are applied before the last 20 games are selected. Missing historical quotes are not skipped to fill a sample. REG · 2022–2026.
Selected book: draftkings. Last available pre-kickoff snapshot, no older than 24 hours. This is not an official closing line. Full game only; overtime included when verified by settlement policy.
Cutoff: 2026-10-28T20:46:00.000Z. 9 wins / 20 denominator. SU includes ties; ATS/total/prop rates exclude pushes, voids and missing data.
Historical frequency is not a forecast or proof of profitability.
Coverage is partial; this is not a career record.
Retrospective source data; not a point-in-time backtest.
Query 1f1996e735518625 · Input c6e748d312dc1918 · nfl-research-1.0.4
- 2026_18_ATL_CAR: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_17_NO_ATL: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_16_TB_ATL: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_15_ATL_WAS: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_14_ATL_CLE: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_13_DET_ATL: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_12_ATL_MIN: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_10_KC_ATL: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_09_CIN_ATL: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_08_ATL_TB: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2025_04_WAS_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_03_ATL_CAR: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_02_ATL_MIN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_01_TB_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_18_CAR_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_17_ATL_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_16_NYG_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_15_ATL_LV: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_14_ATL_MIN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_13_LAC_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_11_ATL_DEN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_10_ATL_NO: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_09_DAL_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_08_ATL_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_07_SEA_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_06_ATL_CAR: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_05_TB_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_04_NO_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_03_KC_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_02_ATL_PHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_01_PIT_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_18_ATL_NO: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_17_ATL_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_16_IND_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_15_ATL_CAR: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_14_TB_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_13_ATL_NYJ: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_12_NO_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_10_ATL_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_09_MIN_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_08_ATL_TEN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_07_ATL_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_06_WAS_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_05_HOU_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_04_ATL_JAX: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_03_ATL_DET: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_02_GB_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_01_CAR_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_18_TB_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_17_ARI_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_16_ATL_BAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_15_ATL_NO: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_13_PIT_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_12_ATL_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_11_CHI_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_10_ATL_CAR: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_09_LAC_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_08_CAR_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_07_ATL_CIN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_06_SF_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_05_ATL_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_04_CLE_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_03_ATL_SEA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_02_ATL_LA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_01_NO_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
How to read this research
Straight up (SU) means who won the game. A tie remains a tie. Win rate is wins divided by wins, losses and ties.
Against the spread (ATS) means team score minus opponent score plus that team’s signed spread. Above zero covers; zero is a push. A −3 favorite must win by more than three to cover.
Line is the threshold. Price is the American odds attached to that exact threshold. Different thresholds are separate offers, not interchangeable prices.
Push means the result landed exactly on the threshold. Hit rate excludes pushes, voids and missing data; all stay visible in the evidence.
Historical frequency is not a forecast. Saves are research, not placed bets. No profit or ROI is inferred from missing prices.