Trend Explorer
Choose a situation. Verify the actual games—not just a headline.
Customize your comparison Team · situation · sample
Straight up · Buffalo Bills
Historical results
14–6–0
20 gradeable / 20 selected games
| Game / season | Result / actual | Line / price | Grade | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 · at LV2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Josh Allen | Result / actual33–30Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 669cb7be2351 |
| 2026-10-13 · at LA2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Josh Allen | Result / actual37–34Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 83eca09d9eff |
| 2026-10-04 · vs NE2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Josh Allen | Result / actual26–29Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 639da08db99c |
| 2026-09-27 · vs LAC2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Josh Allen | Result / actual24–16Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput da6e3ba69a17 |
| 2026-09-18 · vs DET2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Josh Allen | Result / actual41–31Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 73cb34044ab7 |
| 2026-09-13 · at HOU2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Josh Allen | Result / actual36–31Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 9876f87edb61 |
| 2026-01-04 · vs NYJ2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Mitchell Trubisky | Result / actual35–8Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput be63f80c2687 |
| 2025-12-28 · vs PHI2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Josh Allen | Result / actual12–13Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 645fb85f7573 |
| 2025-12-21 · at CLE2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Josh Allen | Result / actual23–20Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 69795951aebb |
| 2025-12-14 · at NE2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Josh Allen | Result / actual35–31Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 2703219f2286 |
| 2025-12-07 · vs CIN2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Josh Allen | Result / actual39–34Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput e73fe120f75e |
| 2025-11-30 · at PIT2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Josh Allen | Result / actual26–7Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput a16a5ac1c15f |
| 2025-11-21 · at HOU2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Josh Allen | Result / actual19–23Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 9ea79dca3969 |
| 2025-11-16 · vs TB2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Josh Allen | Result / actual44–32Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 56b562a5c004 |
| 2025-11-09 · at MIA2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Josh Allen | Result / actual13–30Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 5e71e5041d8b |
| 2025-11-02 · vs KC2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Josh Allen | Result / actual28–21Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 85a8af1682d3 |
| 2025-10-26 · at CAR2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Josh Allen | Result / actual40–9Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 821b71184d6d |
| 2025-10-13 · at ATL2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Josh Allen | Result / actual14–24Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput f44bae418a66 |
| 2025-10-06 · vs NE2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Josh Allen | Result / actual20–23Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 595847f3d449 |
| 2025-09-28 · vs NO2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Josh Allen | Result / actual31–19Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 12ba43ff8f26 |
Methodology, coverage and 73 exclusions
Conditions are applied before the last 20 games are selected. Missing historical quotes are not skipped to fill a sample. REG · 2022–2026.
Selected book: draftkings. Last available pre-kickoff snapshot, no older than 24 hours. This is not an official closing line. Full game only; overtime included when verified by settlement policy.
Cutoff: 2026-10-28T19:48:00.000Z. 14 wins / 20 denominator. SU includes ties; ATS/total/prop rates exclude pushes, voids and missing data.
Historical frequency is not a forecast or proof of profitability.
Coverage is partial; this is not a career record.
Retrospective source data; not a point-in-time backtest.
Query 29de3a0b2b3898cd · Input 717d0d504f4d3448 · nfl-research-1.0.4
- 2026_18_NYJ_BUF: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_17_BUF_MIA: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_16_BUF_DEN: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_15_CHI_BUF: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_14_BUF_GB: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_13_BUF_NE: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_12_KC_BUF: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_11_MIA_BUF: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_10_BUF_NYJ: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_09_BUF_MIN: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_08_BAL_BUF: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2025_20_BUF_DEN: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2025_19_BUF_JAX: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2024_21_BUF_KC: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2024_20_BAL_BUF: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2024_19_DEN_BUF: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2023_20_KC_BUF: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2023_19_PIT_BUF: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2022_20_CIN_BUF: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2022_19_MIA_BUF: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2025_03_MIA_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_02_BUF_NYJ: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_01_BAL_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_18_BUF_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_17_NYJ_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_16_NE_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_15_BUF_DET: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_14_BUF_LA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_13_SF_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_11_KC_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_10_BUF_IND: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_09_MIA_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_08_BUF_SEA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_07_TEN_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_06_BUF_NYJ: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_05_BUF_HOU: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_04_BUF_BAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_03_JAX_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_02_BUF_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_01_ARI_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_18_BUF_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_17_NE_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_16_BUF_LAC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_15_DAL_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_14_BUF_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_12_BUF_PHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_11_NYJ_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_10_DEN_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_09_BUF_CIN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_08_TB_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_07_BUF_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_06_NYG_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_05_JAX_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_04_MIA_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_03_BUF_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_02_LV_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_01_BUF_NYJ: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_18_NE_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_16_BUF_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_15_MIA_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_14_NYJ_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_13_BUF_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_12_BUF_DET: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_11_CLE_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_10_MIN_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_09_BUF_NYJ: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_08_GB_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_06_BUF_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_05_PIT_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_04_BUF_BAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_03_BUF_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_02_TEN_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_01_BUF_LA: Outside last N qualifying games
How to read this research
Straight up (SU) means who won the game. A tie remains a tie. Win rate is wins divided by wins, losses and ties.
Against the spread (ATS) means team score minus opponent score plus that team’s signed spread. Above zero covers; zero is a push. A −3 favorite must win by more than three to cover.
Line is the threshold. Price is the American odds attached to that exact threshold. Different thresholds are separate offers, not interchangeable prices.
Push means the result landed exactly on the threshold. Hit rate excludes pushes, voids and missing data; all stay visible in the evidence.
Historical frequency is not a forecast. Saves are research, not placed bets. No profit or ROI is inferred from missing prices.