Trend Explorer
Choose a situation. Verify the actual games—not just a headline.
Customize your comparison Team · situation · sample
Straight up · Miami Dolphins
Historical results
| Game / season | Result / actual | Line / price | Grade | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 · at NYJ2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Malik Willis | Result / actual28–25Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput b0174d0a5831 |
| 2026-10-11 · vs CIN2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Malik Willis | Result / actual24–31Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput bd287ba1f2a3 |
| 2026-10-04 · at MIN2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Malik Willis | Result / actual10–15Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput cbcd3cfe5471 |
| 2026-09-27 · vs KC2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Malik Willis | Result / actual10–24Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput ee8174bd64e0 |
| 2026-09-20 · at SF2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Malik Willis | Result / actual13–35Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 191bc6582dd4 |
| 2026-09-13 · at LV2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Malik Willis | Result / actual13–27Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput f8575f55676b |
| 2026-01-04 · at NE2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Quinn Ewers | Result / actual10–38Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 635050902ff6 |
| 2025-12-28 · vs TB2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Quinn Ewers | Result / actual20–17Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 57412c13eb6d |
| 2025-12-21 · vs CIN2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Quinn Ewers | Result / actual21–45Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput be42284d684a |
| 2025-12-16 · at PIT2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Tua Tagovailoa | Result / actual15–28Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 5c98b3b62ead |
| 2025-12-07 · at NYJ2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Tua Tagovailoa | Result / actual34–10Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput bdfdff16d300 |
| 2025-11-30 · vs NO2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Tua Tagovailoa | Result / actual21–17Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 6ac9bc6a6bd9 |
| 2025-11-16 · vs WAS2025 REG · neutralStarting QB: Tua Tagovailoa | Result / actual16–13Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 1c8fd38e1dba |
| 2025-11-09 · vs BUF2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Tua Tagovailoa | Result / actual30–13Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 5e71e5041d8b |
| 2025-10-31 · vs BAL2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Tua Tagovailoa | Result / actual6–28Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput e9cb6cabd806 |
| 2025-10-26 · at ATL2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Tua Tagovailoa | Result / actual34–10Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 2afb2da8680f |
| 2025-10-19 · at CLE2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Tua Tagovailoa | Result / actual6–31Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput cbd10e3726d5 |
| 2025-10-12 · vs LAC2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Tua Tagovailoa | Result / actual27–29Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 746d2b60ce0b |
| 2025-10-05 · at CAR2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Tua Tagovailoa | Result / actual24–27Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput db2d7e9c4c7f |
| 2025-09-29 · vs NYJ2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Tua Tagovailoa | Result / actual27–21Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput ab98f8181401 |
Methodology, coverage and 67 exclusions
Conditions are applied before the last 20 games are selected. Missing historical quotes are not skipped to fill a sample. REG · 2022–2026.
Selected book: draftkings. Last available pre-kickoff snapshot, no older than 24 hours. This is not an official closing line. Full game only; overtime included when verified by settlement policy.
Cutoff: 2026-10-28T20:46:00.000Z. 8 wins / 20 denominator. SU includes ties; ATS/total/prop rates exclude pushes, voids and missing data.
Historical frequency is not a forecast or proof of profitability.
Coverage is partial; this is not a career record.
Retrospective source data; not a point-in-time backtest.
Query bc3a3a2b040cc850 · Input c67bf965f9417ee6 · nfl-research-1.0.4
- 2026_18_MIA_NE: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_17_BUF_MIA: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_16_LAC_MIA: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_15_MIA_GB: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_14_CHI_MIA: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_13_MIA_DEN: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_12_NYJ_MIA: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_11_MIA_BUF: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_10_MIA_IND: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_09_DET_MIA: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_08_NE_MIA: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2023_19_MIA_KC: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2022_19_MIA_BUF: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2025_03_MIA_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_02_NE_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_01_MIA_IND: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_18_MIA_NYJ: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_17_MIA_CLE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_16_SF_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_15_MIA_HOU: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_14_NYJ_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_13_MIA_GB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_12_NE_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_11_LV_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_10_MIA_LA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_09_MIA_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_08_ARI_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_07_MIA_IND: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_05_MIA_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_04_TEN_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_03_MIA_SEA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_02_BUF_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_01_JAX_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_18_BUF_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_17_MIA_BAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_16_DAL_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_15_NYJ_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_14_TEN_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_13_MIA_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_12_MIA_NYJ: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_11_LV_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_09_MIA_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_08_NE_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_07_MIA_PHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_06_CAR_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_05_NYG_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_04_MIA_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_03_DEN_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_02_MIA_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_01_MIA_LAC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_18_NYJ_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_17_MIA_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_16_GB_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_15_MIA_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_14_MIA_LAC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_13_MIA_SF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_12_HOU_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_10_CLE_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_09_MIA_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_08_MIA_DET: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_07_PIT_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_06_MIN_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_05_MIA_NYJ: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_04_MIA_CIN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_03_BUF_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_02_MIA_BAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_01_NE_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
How to read this research
Straight up (SU) means who won the game. A tie remains a tie. Win rate is wins divided by wins, losses and ties.
Against the spread (ATS) means team score minus opponent score plus that team’s signed spread. Above zero covers; zero is a push. A −3 favorite must win by more than three to cover.
Line is the threshold. Price is the American odds attached to that exact threshold. Different thresholds are separate offers, not interchangeable prices.
Push means the result landed exactly on the threshold. Hit rate excludes pushes, voids and missing data; all stay visible in the evidence.
Historical frequency is not a forecast. Saves are research, not placed bets. No profit or ROI is inferred from missing prices.

