Trend Explorer
Choose a situation. Verify the actual games—not just a headline.
Customize your comparison Team · situation · sample
Straight up · New England Patriots
Historical results
16–4–0
20 gradeable / 20 selected games
| Game / season | Result / actual | Line / price | Grade | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 · at CHI2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Drake Maye | Result / actual24–30Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 2e6cc449175b |
| 2026-10-18 · vs NYJ2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Drake Maye | Result / actual26–19Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 954429b59ca0 |
| 2026-10-11 · vs LV2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Drake Maye | Result / actual45–17Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 4a827e65f6ae |
| 2026-10-04 · at BUF2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Drake Maye | Result / actual29–26Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 639da08db99c |
| 2026-09-27 · at JAX2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Drake Maye | Result / actual6–35Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput a22f5ddf4382 |
| 2026-09-20 · vs PIT2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Drake Maye | Result / actual20–3Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput b8356778ec39 |
| 2026-09-10 · at SEA2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Drake Maye | Result / actual10–13Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput db74f17dae76 |
| 2026-01-04 · vs MIA2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Drake Maye | Result / actual38–10Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 635050902ff6 |
| 2025-12-28 · at NYJ2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Drake Maye | Result / actual42–10Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput c666ce3e81fa |
| 2025-12-22 · at BAL2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Drake Maye | Result / actual28–24Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 729e32df0916 |
| 2025-12-14 · vs BUF2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Drake Maye | Result / actual31–35Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 2703219f2286 |
| 2025-12-02 · vs NYG2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Drake Maye | Result / actual33–15Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 444cc932f1c0 |
| 2025-11-23 · at CIN2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Drake Maye | Result / actual26–20Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 306fb26c8677 |
| 2025-11-14 · vs NYJ2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Drake Maye | Result / actual27–14Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 7fdeedac8ace |
| 2025-11-09 · at TB2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Drake Maye | Result / actual28–23Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput bc5e97fbcdf2 |
| 2025-11-02 · vs ATL2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Drake Maye | Result / actual24–23Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput deabeab5c227 |
| 2025-10-26 · vs CLE2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Drake Maye | Result / actual32–13Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 7f547ce5a2c3 |
| 2025-10-19 · at TEN2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Drake Maye | Result / actual31–13Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 9a9aba8fa990 |
| 2025-10-12 · at NO2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Drake Maye | Result / actual25–19Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 279be4a244e6 |
| 2025-10-06 · at BUF2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Drake Maye | Result / actual23–20Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 595847f3d449 |
Methodology, coverage and 69 exclusions
Conditions are applied before the last 20 games are selected. Missing historical quotes are not skipped to fill a sample. REG · 2022–2026.
Selected book: draftkings. Last available pre-kickoff snapshot, no older than 24 hours. This is not an official closing line. Full game only; overtime included when verified by settlement policy.
Cutoff: 2026-10-28T20:46:00.000Z. 16 wins / 20 denominator. SU includes ties; ATS/total/prop rates exclude pushes, voids and missing data.
Historical frequency is not a forecast or proof of profitability.
Coverage is partial; this is not a career record.
Retrospective source data; not a point-in-time backtest.
Query 02afa014f85015ed · Input 848eb239c91f30d4 · nfl-research-1.0.4
- 2026_18_MIA_NE: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_17_DEN_NE: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_16_NE_NYJ: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_15_NE_KC: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_14_MIN_NE: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_13_BUF_NE: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_12_NE_LAC: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_10_NE_DET: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_09_GB_NE: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_08_NE_MIA: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2025_22_SEA_NE: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2025_21_NE_DEN: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2025_20_HOU_NE: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2025_19_LAC_NE: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2025_04_CAR_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_03_PIT_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_02_NE_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_01_LV_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_18_BUF_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_17_LAC_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_16_NE_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_15_NE_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_13_IND_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_12_NE_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_11_LA_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_10_NE_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_09_NE_TEN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_08_NYJ_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_07_NE_JAX: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_06_HOU_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_05_MIA_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_04_NE_SF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_03_NE_NYJ: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_02_SEA_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_01_NE_CIN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_18_NYJ_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_17_NE_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_16_NE_DEN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_15_KC_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_14_NE_PIT: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_13_LAC_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_12_NE_NYG: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_10_IND_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_09_WAS_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_08_NE_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_07_BUF_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_06_NE_LV: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_05_NO_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_04_NE_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_03_NE_NYJ: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_02_MIA_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_01_PHI_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_18_NE_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_17_MIA_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_16_CIN_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_15_NE_LV: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_14_NE_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_13_BUF_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_12_NE_MIN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_11_NYJ_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_09_IND_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_08_NE_NYJ: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_07_CHI_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_06_NE_CLE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_05_DET_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_04_NE_GB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_03_BAL_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_02_NE_PIT: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_01_NE_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
How to read this research
Straight up (SU) means who won the game. A tie remains a tie. Win rate is wins divided by wins, losses and ties.
Against the spread (ATS) means team score minus opponent score plus that team’s signed spread. Above zero covers; zero is a push. A −3 favorite must win by more than three to cover.
Line is the threshold. Price is the American odds attached to that exact threshold. Different thresholds are separate offers, not interchangeable prices.
Push means the result landed exactly on the threshold. Hit rate excludes pushes, voids and missing data; all stay visible in the evidence.
Historical frequency is not a forecast. Saves are research, not placed bets. No profit or ROI is inferred from missing prices.