Trend Explorer
Choose a situation. Verify the actual games—not just a headline.
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Straight up · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Historical results
7–13–0
20 gradeable / 20 selected games
| Game / season | Result / actual | Line / price | Grade | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 · at CAR2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Baker Mayfield | Result / actual43–13Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 9bfa7985e420 |
| 2026-10-18 · vs PIT2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Jalon Daniels | Result / actual19–26Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 7127dddc8d65 |
| 2026-10-09 · at DAL2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Jalon Daniels | Result / actual24–16Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 4bbe0b1e4c41 |
| 2026-10-04 · vs GB2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Jalon Daniels | Result / actual14–17Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput deef17fe161a |
| 2026-09-27 · vs MIN2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Baker Mayfield | Result / actual16–23Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput b293a683f502 |
| 2026-09-20 · vs CLE2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Baker Mayfield | Result / actual19–23Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput e9af9b7aafa0 |
| 2026-09-13 · at CIN2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Baker Mayfield | Result / actual27–33Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput e9e7830d3b6d |
| 2026-01-03 · vs CAR2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Baker Mayfield | Result / actual16–14Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 1b6cccf14e52 |
| 2025-12-28 · at MIA2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Baker Mayfield | Result / actual17–20Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 57412c13eb6d |
| 2025-12-21 · at CAR2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Baker Mayfield | Result / actual20–23Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 96b79308026f |
| 2025-12-12 · vs ATL2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Baker Mayfield | Result / actual28–29Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 1da8f8334225 |
| 2025-12-07 · vs NO2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Baker Mayfield | Result / actual20–24Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput be19dfecb029 |
| 2025-11-30 · vs ARI2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Baker Mayfield | Result / actual20–17Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 5148f0e319b6 |
| 2025-11-24 · at LA2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Baker Mayfield | Result / actual7–34Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 315a07524a8b |
| 2025-11-16 · at BUF2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Baker Mayfield | Result / actual32–44Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 56b562a5c004 |
| 2025-11-09 · vs NE2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Baker Mayfield | Result / actual23–28Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput bc5e97fbcdf2 |
| 2025-10-26 · at NO2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Baker Mayfield | Result / actual23–3Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 62adf582046f |
| 2025-10-20 · at DET2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Baker Mayfield | Result / actual9–24Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput ef26933c6bf5 |
| 2025-10-12 · vs SF2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Baker Mayfield | Result / actual30–19Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 7e303f295228 |
| 2025-10-05 · at SEA2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Baker Mayfield | Result / actual38–35Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 8d9a774341ec |
Methodology, coverage and 69 exclusions
Conditions are applied before the last 20 games are selected. Missing historical quotes are not skipped to fill a sample. REG · 2022–2026.
Selected book: draftkings. Last available pre-kickoff snapshot, no older than 24 hours. This is not an official closing line. Full game only; overtime included when verified by settlement policy.
Cutoff: 2026-10-28T20:46:00.000Z. 7 wins / 20 denominator. SU includes ties; ATS/total/prop rates exclude pushes, voids and missing data.
Historical frequency is not a forecast or proof of profitability.
Coverage is partial; this is not a career record.
Retrospective source data; not a point-in-time backtest.
Query 99e320fe7195d33d · Input ff0f4a6d6094f1ed · nfl-research-1.0.4
- 2026_18_TB_NO: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_17_LA_TB: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_16_TB_ATL: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_15_NO_TB: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_14_TB_BAL: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_13_LAC_TB: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_12_CAR_TB: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_11_TB_DET: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_09_TB_CHI: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_08_ATL_TB: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2024_19_WAS_TB: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2023_20_TB_DET: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2023_19_PHI_TB: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2022_19_DAL_TB: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2025_04_PHI_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_03_NYJ_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_02_TB_HOU: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_01_TB_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_18_NO_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_17_CAR_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_16_TB_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_15_TB_LAC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_14_LV_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_13_TB_CAR: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_12_TB_NYG: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_10_SF_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_09_TB_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_08_ATL_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_07_BAL_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_06_TB_NO: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_05_TB_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_04_PHI_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_03_DEN_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_02_TB_DET: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_01_WAS_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_18_TB_CAR: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_17_NO_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_16_JAX_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_15_TB_GB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_14_TB_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_13_CAR_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_12_TB_IND: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_11_TB_SF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_10_TEN_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_09_TB_HOU: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_08_TB_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_07_ATL_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_06_DET_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_04_TB_NO: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_03_PHI_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_02_CHI_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_01_TB_MIN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_18_TB_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_17_CAR_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_16_TB_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_15_CIN_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_14_TB_SF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_13_NO_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_12_TB_CLE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_10_SEA_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_09_LA_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_08_BAL_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_07_TB_CAR: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_06_TB_PIT: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_05_ATL_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_04_KC_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_03_GB_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_02_TB_NO: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_01_TB_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
How to read this research
Straight up (SU) means who won the game. A tie remains a tie. Win rate is wins divided by wins, losses and ties.
Against the spread (ATS) means team score minus opponent score plus that team’s signed spread. Above zero covers; zero is a push. A −3 favorite must win by more than three to cover.
Line is the threshold. Price is the American odds attached to that exact threshold. Different thresholds are separate offers, not interchangeable prices.
Push means the result landed exactly on the threshold. Hit rate excludes pushes, voids and missing data; all stay visible in the evidence.
Historical frequency is not a forecast. Saves are research, not placed bets. No profit or ROI is inferred from missing prices.