Customize your comparison Team · situation · sample
Rushing yards · James Conner
Historical results
Small or incomplete sample: fewer than 8 resolved games. This result is not eligible for automatic featuring.
Mean 67.0 · Median 60.5 · 20 known actuals
| Game / season | Result / actual | Line / price | Grade | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-21 · at SF2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Kyler Murray | Result / actual22Rushing yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2025.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 03098d01d641 |
| 2025-09-14 · vs CAR2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Kyler Murray | Result / actual34Rushing yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2025.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 07a6731b22d0 |
| 2025-09-07 · at NO2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Kyler Murray | Result / actual39Rushing yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2025.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 8cab3181db12 |
| 2024-12-29 · at LA2024 REG · awayStarting QB: Kyler Murray | Result / actual4Rushing yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2024.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput bf70880365ae |
| 2024-12-22 · at CAR2024 REG · awayStarting QB: Kyler Murray | Result / actual117Rushing yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2024.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 0c7b9e5ff852 |
| 2024-12-15 · vs NE2024 REG · homeStarting QB: Kyler Murray | Result / actual110Rushing yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2024.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput cb3ceb1e83d4 |
| 2024-12-08 · vs SEA2024 REG · homeStarting QB: Kyler Murray | Result / actual90Rushing yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2024.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput fa11a28a071a |
| 2024-12-01 · at MIN2024 REG · awayStarting QB: Kyler Murray | Result / actual68Rushing yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2024.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 1a1a6f0f1980 |
| 2024-11-24 · at SEA2024 REG · awayStarting QB: Kyler Murray | Result / actual8Rushing yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2024.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput ec2bb5745862 |
| 2024-11-10 · vs NYJ2024 REG · homeStarting QB: Kyler Murray | Result / actual33Rushing yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2024.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 7b65daede027 |
| 2024-11-03 · vs CHI2024 REG · homeStarting QB: Kyler Murray | Result / actual107Rushing yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2024.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput a850f752f7aa |
| 2024-10-27 · at MIA2024 REG · awayStarting QB: Kyler Murray | Result / actual53Rushing yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2024.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 32477d496434 |
| 2024-10-22 · vs LAC2024 REG · homeStarting QB: Kyler Murray | Result / actual101Rushing yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2024.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput feca1c60cd92 |
| 2024-10-13 · at GB2024 REG · awayStarting QB: Kyler Murray | Result / actual24Rushing yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2024.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput a9dee69f0e08 |
| 2024-10-06 · at SF2024 REG · awayStarting QB: Kyler Murray | Result / actual86Rushing yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2024.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput ac3712d19d3b |
| 2024-09-29 · vs WAS2024 REG · homeStarting QB: Kyler Murray | Result / actual104Rushing yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2024.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 62dc59a95be7 |
| 2024-09-22 · vs DET2024 REG · homeStarting QB: Kyler Murray | Result / actual17Rushing yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2024.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 004d7c2d027a |
| 2024-09-15 · vs LA2024 REG · homeStarting QB: Kyler Murray | Result / actual122Rushing yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2024.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 8badc0078941 |
| 2024-09-08 · at BUF2024 REG · awayStarting QB: Kyler Murray | Result / actual50Rushing yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2024.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 4678e66a6ed7 |
| 2024-01-07 · vs SEA2023 REG · homeStarting QB: Kyler Murray | Result / actual150Rushing yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2023.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 2e3f9971c433 |
Methodology, coverage and 25 exclusions
Conditions are applied before the last 20 games are selected. Missing historical quotes are not skipped to fill a sample. REG · 2022–2026.
Selected book: draftkings. Last available pre-kickoff snapshot, no older than 24 hours. This is not an official closing line. Full game only; overtime included when verified by settlement policy.
Cutoff: 2026-10-28T20:47:00.000Z. 0 wins / 0 denominator. SU includes ties; ATS/total/prop rates exclude pushes, voids and missing data.
Historical frequency is not a forecast or proof of profitability.
Coverage is partial; this is not a career record.
Retrospective source data; not a point-in-time backtest.
Player coverage includes reported box-score rows only. Missing appearances and zero-involvement rows are not established as DNPs.
Query 74bf5a9d671751cd · Input a4991a3996591b52 · nfl-research-1.0.4
- 2023_17_ARI_PHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_16_ARI_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_15_SF_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_13_ARI_PIT: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_12_LA_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_11_ARI_HOU: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_10_ATL_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_05_CIN_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_04_ARI_SF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_03_DAL_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_02_NYG_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_01_ARI_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_17_ARI_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_16_TB_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_15_ARI_DEN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_14_NE_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_12_LAC_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_11_SF_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_10_ARI_LA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_09_SEA_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_05_PHI_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_04_ARI_CAR: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_03_LA_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_02_ARI_LV: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_01_KC_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
How to read this research
Straight up (SU) means who won the game. A tie remains a tie. Win rate is wins divided by wins, losses and ties.
Against the spread (ATS) means team score minus opponent score plus that team’s signed spread. Above zero covers; zero is a push. A −3 favorite must win by more than three to cover.
Line is the threshold. Price is the American odds attached to that exact threshold. Different thresholds are separate offers, not interchangeable prices.
Push means the result landed exactly on the threshold. Hit rate excludes pushes, voids and missing data; all stay visible in the evidence.
Historical frequency is not a forecast. Saves are research, not placed bets. No profit or ROI is inferred from missing prices.


