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The QB room

One likely starter per team

Week 8 · 28 team incumbents · 28 posted pass-TD lines

QuarterbackLineApproachL10 OAvgBest O / U

1Joe BurrowCIN · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
4/62.5O/U 1.5history baseline
TEN @ CIN · L10 O 4/6 · L5 red zone 26 att
15 pass TD in 6 games · 36.5 attempts/game · 7% TD rate · L5 red zone 26 pass attempts / 12 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #27 in pass TDs allowed · game total 46.5
2Jared GoffDET · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
5/62.3O/U 1.5history baseline
MIN @ DET · L10 O 5/6 · L5 red zone 40 att
14 pass TD in 6 games · 37.2 attempts/game · 6% TD rate · L5 red zone 40 pass attempts / 6 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #24 in pass TDs allowed · game total 46.5
3Trevor LawrenceJAX · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
4/62.3O/U 1.5history baseline
IND @ JAX · L10 O 4/6 · L5 red zone 33 att
14 pass TD in 6 games · 30.7 attempts/game · 8% TD rate · L5 red zone 33 pass attempts / 22 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #12 in pass TDs allowed · game total 46.5
4Kirk CousinsLV · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
6/72.3O/U 1.5history baseline
LV @ NYJ · L10 O 6/7 · L5 red zone 32 att
16 pass TD in 7 games · 36.7 attempts/game · 6% TD rate · L5 red zone 32 pass attempts / 7 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #17 in pass TDs allowed · game total 45.5
5Matthew StaffordLA · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
5/72.0O/U 1.5history baseline
LAC @ LA · L10 O 5/7 · L5 red zone 36 att
14 pass TD in 7 games · 39.7 attempts/game · 5% TD rate · L5 red zone 36 pass attempts / 8 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #13 in pass TDs allowed · game total 45.5
6Bryce YoungCAR · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
4/62.0O/U 1.5history baseline
CAR @ GB · L10 O 4/6 · L5 red zone 33 att
12 pass TD in 6 games · 38.0 attempts/game · 5% TD rate · L5 red zone 33 pass attempts / 14 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #10 in pass TDs allowed · game total 47.5
7Aaron RodgersPIT · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
4/71.9O/U 1.5history baseline
CLE @ PIT · L10 O 4/7 · L5 red zone 31 att
13 pass TD in 7 games · 37.6 attempts/game · 5% TD rate · L5 red zone 31 pass attempts / 9 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #5 in pass TDs allowed · game total 39.5
8Dak PrescottDAL · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
3/71.9O/U 1.5history baseline
ARI @ DAL · L10 O 3/7 · L5 red zone 34 att
13 pass TD in 7 games · 39.0 attempts/game · 5% TD rate · L5 red zone 34 pass attempts / 10 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #8 in pass TDs allowed · game total 54.5
9Jordan LoveGB · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
6/71.9O/U 1.5history baseline
CAR @ GB · L10 O 6/7 · L5 red zone 32 att
13 pass TD in 7 games · 38.7 attempts/game · 5% TD rate · L5 red zone 32 pass attempts / 10 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #20 in pass TDs allowed · game total 47.5
10Drake MayeNE · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
4/71.9O/U 1.5history baseline
NE @ MIA · L10 O 4/7 · L5 red zone 29 att
13 pass TD in 7 games · 30.6 attempts/game · 6% TD rate · L5 red zone 29 pass attempts / 8 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #7 in pass TDs allowed · game total 43.5
11Michael Penix Jr.ATL · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
2/51.8O/U 1.5history baseline
ATL @ TB · L10 O 2/5 · L5 red zone 25 att
9 pass TD in 5 games · 28.8 attempts/game · 6% TD rate · L5 red zone 25 pass attempts / 8 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #18 in pass TDs allowed · game total 45.5
12Jalen HurtsPHI · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
3/51.6O/U 1.5history baseline
PHI @ WAS · L10 O 3/5 · L5 red zone 14 att
8 pass TD in 5 games · 30.8 attempts/game · 5% TD rate · L5 red zone 14 pass attempts / 8 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #1 in pass TDs allowed · game total 40.5
13Patrick MahomesKC · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
4/61.5O/U 1.5history baseline
KC @ DEN · L10 O 4/6 · L5 red zone 28 att
9 pass TD in 6 games · 31.8 attempts/game · 5% TD rate · L5 red zone 28 pass attempts / 14 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #21 in pass TDs allowed · game total 41.5
14Josh AllenBUF · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
3/61.5O/U 1.5history baseline
BAL @ BUF · L10 O 3/6 · L5 red zone 25 att
9 pass TD in 6 games · 28.5 attempts/game · 5% TD rate · L5 red zone 25 pass attempts / 8 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #19 in pass TDs allowed · game total 54.5
15Lamar JacksonBAL · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
2/41.5O/U 1.5history baseline
BAL @ BUF · L10 O 2/4 · L5 red zone 15 att
6 pass TD in 4 games · 24.0 attempts/game · 6% TD rate · L5 red zone 15 pass attempts / 8 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #2 in pass TDs allowed · game total 54.5
16Geno SmithNYJ · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
2/71.4O/U 1.5history baseline
LV @ NYJ · L10 O 2/7 · L5 red zone 22 att
10 pass TD in 7 games · 29.6 attempts/game · 5% TD rate · L5 red zone 22 pass attempts / 5 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #28 in pass TDs allowed · game total 45.5
17Jacoby BrissettARI · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
3/71.4O/U 1.5history baseline
ARI @ DAL · L10 O 3/7 · L5 red zone 49 att
10 pass TD in 7 games · 40.3 attempts/game · 4% TD rate · L5 red zone 49 pass attempts / 29 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #6 in pass TDs allowed · game total 54.5
18Sam DarnoldSEA · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
2/61.3O/U 1.5history baseline
CHI @ SEA · L10 O 2/6 · L5 red zone 21 att
8 pass TD in 6 games · 29.5 attempts/game · 5% TD rate · L5 red zone 21 pass attempts / 8 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #14 in pass TDs allowed · game total 46.5
19Jayden DanielsWAS · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
2/41.3O/U 1.5history baseline
PHI @ WAS · L10 O 2/4 · L5 red zone 22 att
5 pass TD in 4 games · 29.0 attempts/game · 4% TD rate · L5 red zone 22 pass attempts / 11 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #25 in pass TDs allowed · game total 40.5
20Caleb WilliamsCHI · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
2/41.3O/U 1.5history baseline
CHI @ SEA · L10 O 2/4 · L5 red zone 20 att
5 pass TD in 4 games · 31.0 attempts/game · 4% TD rate · L5 red zone 20 pass attempts / 6 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #26 in pass TDs allowed · game total 46.5
21Deshaun WatsonCLE · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
2/71.0O/U 1.5history baseline
CLE @ PIT · L10 O 2/7 · L5 red zone 13 att
7 pass TD in 7 games · 30.0 attempts/game · 3% TD rate · L5 red zone 13 pass attempts / 3 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #30 in pass TDs allowed · game total 39.5
22Bo NixDEN · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
1/71.0O/U 1.5history baseline
KC @ DEN · L10 O 1/7 · L5 red zone 21 att
7 pass TD in 7 games · 31.1 attempts/game · 3% TD rate · L5 red zone 21 pass attempts / 9 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #23 in pass TDs allowed · game total 41.5
23Justin HerbertLAC · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
0/60.8O/U 1.5history baseline
LAC @ LA · L10 O 0/6 · L5 red zone 20 att
5 pass TD in 6 games · 30.0 attempts/game · 3% TD rate · L5 red zone 20 pass attempts / 9 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #15 in pass TDs allowed · game total 45.5
24Baker MayfieldTB · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
0/40.8O/U 1.5history baseline
ATL @ TB · L10 O 0/4 · L5 red zone 23 att
3 pass TD in 4 games · 26.8 attempts/game · 3% TD rate · L5 red zone 23 pass attempts / 7 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #9 in pass TDs allowed · game total 45.5
25Malik WillisMIA · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
1/60.7O/U 1.5history baseline
NE @ MIA · L10 O 1/6 · L5 red zone 15 att
4 pass TD in 6 games · 25.2 attempts/game · 3% TD rate · L5 red zone 15 pass attempts / 6 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #29 in pass TDs allowed · game total 43.5
26Kyler MurrayMIN · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
0/50.6O/U 1.5history baseline
MIN @ DET · L10 O 0/5 · L5 red zone 16 att
3 pass TD in 5 games · 25.0 attempts/game · 2% TD rate · L5 red zone 16 pass attempts / 1 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #3 in pass TDs allowed · game total 46.5
27Daniel JonesIND · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
0/70.6O/U 1.5history baseline
IND @ JAX · L10 O 0/7 · L5 red zone 19 att
4 pass TD in 7 games · 34.3 attempts/game · 2% TD rate · L5 red zone 19 pass attempts / 9 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #22 in pass TDs allowed · game total 46.5
28Cam WardTEN · QB
O/U 1.5baseline
0/70.6O/U 1.5history baseline
TEN @ CIN · L10 O 0/7 · L5 red zone 23 att
4 pass TD in 7 games · 29.7 attempts/game · 2% TD rate · L5 red zone 23 pass attempts / 5 goal-to-go · opponent ranks #32 in pass TDs allowed · game total 46.5

How to read this board

Sportsbook line
Rates use the exact stored consensus number. When no line exists, 1.5 is shown as a history baseline, not a claim that a book offers it.

Latest five
Each cell is that quarterback’s passing-TD result, newest first. The L10 column counts strict overs against the displayed line.

Opponent rank
Rank 1 allowed the most passing TDs per game to quarterbacks last season. It describes the matchup; it does not predict the result.