Trend Explorer
Choose a situation. Verify the actual games—not just a headline.
Customize your comparison Team · situation · sample
Straight up · Chicago Bears
Historical results
14–6–0
20 gradeable / 20 selected games
| Game / season | Result / actual | Line / price | Grade | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 · vs NE2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Caleb Williams | Result / actual30–24Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 2e6cc449175b |
| 2026-10-18 · at ATL2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Caleb Williams | Result / actual31–23Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput c66904bb1542 |
| 2026-10-11 · at GB2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Tyson Bagent | Result / actual7–31Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 0e7ae977b32f |
| 2026-10-04 · vs NYJ2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Case Keenum | Result / actual23–12Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 678dc9263e53 |
| 2026-09-29 · vs PHI2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Case Keenum | Result / actual27–7Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 1b6efd5f0238 |
| 2026-09-20 · vs MIN2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Caleb Williams | Result / actual3–9Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 565afc084976 |
| 2026-09-13 · at CAR2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Caleb Williams | Result / actual59–37Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 1d92d03b8307 |
| 2026-01-04 · vs DET2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Caleb Williams | Result / actual16–19Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput b3ad12a1fe4d |
| 2025-12-29 · at SF2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Caleb Williams | Result / actual38–42Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 403fcd99e703 |
| 2025-12-21 · vs GB2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Caleb Williams | Result / actual22–16Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 4018538f343f |
| 2025-12-14 · vs CLE2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Caleb Williams | Result / actual31–3Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput eeed7c0f5734 |
| 2025-12-07 · at GB2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Caleb Williams | Result / actual21–28Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 2d3048b3a893 |
| 2025-11-28 · at PHI2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Caleb Williams | Result / actual24–15Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput c3d95adbcca3 |
| 2025-11-23 · vs PIT2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Caleb Williams | Result / actual31–28Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 59fa517524a0 |
| 2025-11-16 · at MIN2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Caleb Williams | Result / actual19–17Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 20cd74d7d352 |
| 2025-11-09 · vs NYG2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Caleb Williams | Result / actual24–20Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 17a8c55164ca |
| 2025-11-02 · at CIN2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Caleb Williams | Result / actual47–42Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput b9a46d839e76 |
| 2025-10-26 · at BAL2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Caleb Williams | Result / actual16–30Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 5179c873cdd5 |
| 2025-10-19 · vs NO2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Caleb Williams | Result / actual26–14Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 2ac3ee3396c4 |
| 2025-10-14 · at WAS2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Caleb Williams | Result / actual25–24Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput a51a22e9c6bf |
Methodology, coverage and 67 exclusions
Conditions are applied before the last 20 games are selected. Missing historical quotes are not skipped to fill a sample. REG · 2022–2026.
Selected book: draftkings. Last available pre-kickoff snapshot, no older than 24 hours. This is not an official closing line. Full game only; overtime included when verified by settlement policy.
Cutoff: 2026-10-28T20:46:00.000Z. 14 wins / 20 denominator. SU includes ties; ATS/total/prop rates exclude pushes, voids and missing data.
Historical frequency is not a forecast or proof of profitability.
Coverage is partial; this is not a career record.
Retrospective source data; not a point-in-time backtest.
Query 190070857caa8ca1 · Input d9f096f79852b105 · nfl-research-1.0.4
- 2026_18_CHI_MIN: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_17_DET_CHI: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_16_GB_CHI: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_15_CHI_BUF: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_14_CHI_MIA: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_13_JAX_CHI: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_12_CHI_DET: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_11_NO_CHI: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_09_TB_CHI: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_08_CHI_SEA: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2025_20_LA_CHI: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2025_19_GB_CHI: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2025_04_CHI_LV: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_03_DAL_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_02_CHI_DET: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_01_MIN_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_18_CHI_GB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_17_SEA_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_16_DET_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_15_CHI_MIN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_14_CHI_SF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_13_CHI_DET: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_12_MIN_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_11_GB_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_10_NE_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_09_CHI_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_08_CHI_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_06_JAX_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_05_CAR_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_04_LA_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_03_CHI_IND: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_02_CHI_HOU: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_01_TEN_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_18_CHI_GB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_17_ATL_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_16_ARI_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_15_CHI_CLE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_14_DET_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_12_CHI_MIN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_11_CHI_DET: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_10_CAR_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_09_CHI_NO: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_08_CHI_LAC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_07_LV_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_06_MIN_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_05_CHI_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_04_DEN_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_03_CHI_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_02_CHI_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_01_GB_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_18_MIN_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_17_CHI_DET: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_16_BUF_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_15_PHI_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_13_GB_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_12_CHI_NYJ: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_11_CHI_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_10_DET_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_09_MIA_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_08_CHI_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_07_CHI_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_06_WAS_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_05_CHI_MIN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_04_CHI_NYG: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_03_HOU_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_02_CHI_GB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_01_SF_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
How to read this research
Straight up (SU) means who won the game. A tie remains a tie. Win rate is wins divided by wins, losses and ties.
Against the spread (ATS) means team score minus opponent score plus that team’s signed spread. Above zero covers; zero is a push. A −3 favorite must win by more than three to cover.
Line is the threshold. Price is the American odds attached to that exact threshold. Different thresholds are separate offers, not interchangeable prices.
Push means the result landed exactly on the threshold. Hit rate excludes pushes, voids and missing data; all stay visible in the evidence.
Historical frequency is not a forecast. Saves are research, not placed bets. No profit or ROI is inferred from missing prices.