Trend Explorer
Choose a situation. Verify the actual games—not just a headline.
Customize your comparison Team · situation · sample
Straight up · Kansas City Chiefs
Historical results
10–10–0
20 gradeable / 20 selected games
| Game / season | Result / actual | Line / price | Grade | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 · at SEA2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Patrick Mahomes | Result / actual3–20Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput a35f5b5af3cd |
| 2026-10-18 · vs LAC2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Patrick Mahomes | Result / actual22–6Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 2713806cdbcd |
| 2026-10-04 · at LV2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Patrick Mahomes | Result / actual30–27Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 7d549c581ba0 |
| 2026-09-27 · at MIA2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Patrick Mahomes | Result / actual24–10Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput ee8174bd64e0 |
| 2026-09-21 · vs IND2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Patrick Mahomes | Result / actual33–30Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 49cf9e063b1a |
| 2026-09-15 · vs DEN2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Patrick Mahomes | Result / actual31–10Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 39385fc2ce4f |
| 2026-01-04 · at LV2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Chris Oladokun | Result / actual12–14Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput bf5a2f2dae13 |
| 2025-12-26 · vs DEN2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Chris Oladokun | Result / actual13–20Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 86ffe2320db6 |
| 2025-12-21 · at TEN2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Gardner Minshew | Result / actual9–26Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput f0f396f6d437 |
| 2025-12-14 · vs LAC2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Patrick Mahomes | Result / actual13–16Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 3d3e33d3fbe3 |
| 2025-12-08 · vs HOU2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Patrick Mahomes | Result / actual10–20Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 2a0cc4d91dcc |
| 2025-11-27 · at DAL2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Patrick Mahomes | Result / actual28–31Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 4f793fba8ad2 |
| 2025-11-23 · vs IND2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Patrick Mahomes | Result / actual23–20Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 8ce77ccbb3d8 |
| 2025-11-16 · at DEN2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Patrick Mahomes | Result / actual19–22Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput ed541c372b0f |
| 2025-11-02 · at BUF2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Patrick Mahomes | Result / actual21–28Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 85a8af1682d3 |
| 2025-10-28 · vs WAS2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Patrick Mahomes | Result / actual28–7Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 8074193200bc |
| 2025-10-19 · vs LV2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Patrick Mahomes | Result / actual31–0Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 592e8572d7a4 |
| 2025-10-13 · vs DET2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Patrick Mahomes | Result / actual30–17Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput b76cfcfaf2e8 |
| 2025-10-07 · at JAX2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Patrick Mahomes | Result / actual28–31Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput d06c12993493 |
| 2025-09-28 · vs BAL2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Patrick Mahomes | Result / actual37–20Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 5252d2b5a76b |
Methodology, coverage and 75 exclusions
Conditions are applied before the last 20 games are selected. Missing historical quotes are not skipped to fill a sample. REG · 2022–2026.
Selected book: draftkings. Last available pre-kickoff snapshot, no older than 24 hours. This is not an official closing line. Full game only; overtime included when verified by settlement policy.
Cutoff: 2026-10-28T20:46:00.000Z. 10 wins / 20 denominator. SU includes ties; ATS/total/prop rates exclude pushes, voids and missing data.
Historical frequency is not a forecast or proof of profitability.
Coverage is partial; this is not a career record.
Retrospective source data; not a point-in-time backtest.
Query 2641d283d49426f0 · Input 0be8a791fdd54248 · nfl-research-1.0.4
- 2026_18_LV_KC: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_17_KC_LAC: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_16_SF_KC: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_15_NE_KC: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_14_KC_CIN: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_13_KC_LA: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_12_KC_BUF: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_11_ARI_KC: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_10_KC_ATL: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_09_NYJ_KC: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_08_KC_DEN: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2024_22_KC_PHI: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2024_21_BUF_KC: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2024_20_HOU_KC: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2023_22_SF_KC: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2023_21_KC_BAL: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2023_20_KC_BUF: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2023_19_MIA_KC: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2022_22_KC_PHI: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2022_21_CIN_KC: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2022_20_JAX_KC: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2025_03_KC_NYG: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_02_PHI_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_01_KC_LAC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_18_KC_DEN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_17_KC_PIT: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_16_HOU_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_15_KC_CLE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_14_LAC_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_13_LV_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_12_KC_CAR: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_11_KC_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_10_DEN_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_09_TB_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_08_KC_LV: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_07_KC_SF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_05_NO_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_04_KC_LAC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_03_KC_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_02_CIN_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_01_BAL_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_18_KC_LAC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_17_CIN_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_16_LV_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_15_KC_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_14_BUF_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_13_KC_GB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_12_KC_LV: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_11_PHI_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_09_MIA_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_08_KC_DEN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_07_LAC_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_06_DEN_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_05_KC_MIN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_04_KC_NYJ: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_03_CHI_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_02_KC_JAX: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_01_DET_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_18_KC_LV: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_17_DEN_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_16_SEA_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_15_KC_HOU: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_14_KC_DEN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_13_KC_CIN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_12_LA_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_11_KC_LAC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_10_JAX_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_09_TEN_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_07_KC_SF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_06_BUF_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_05_LV_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_04_KC_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_03_KC_IND: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_02_LAC_KC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_01_KC_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
How to read this research
Straight up (SU) means who won the game. A tie remains a tie. Win rate is wins divided by wins, losses and ties.
Against the spread (ATS) means team score minus opponent score plus that team’s signed spread. Above zero covers; zero is a push. A −3 favorite must win by more than three to cover.
Line is the threshold. Price is the American odds attached to that exact threshold. Different thresholds are separate offers, not interchangeable prices.
Push means the result landed exactly on the threshold. Hit rate excludes pushes, voids and missing data; all stay visible in the evidence.
Historical frequency is not a forecast. Saves are research, not placed bets. No profit or ROI is inferred from missing prices.