Trend Explorer
Choose a situation. Verify the actual games—not just a headline.
Customize your comparison Team · situation · sample
Straight up · Washington Commanders
Historical results
4–15–1
20 gradeable / 20 selected games
| Game / season | Result / actual | Line / price | Grade | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 · at SF2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Jayden Daniels | Result / actual17–23Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 093983ff05f9 |
| 2026-10-11 · vs NYG2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Jayden Daniels | Result / actual27–27Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradetieFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 334058eae56e |
| 2026-10-04 · vs IND2026 REG · neutralStarting QB: Marcus Mariota | Result / actual13–30Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 08aa7f422050 |
| 2026-09-27 · vs SEA2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Jayden Daniels | Result / actual33–31Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 11105dbd71fe |
| 2026-09-20 · at DAL2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Jayden Daniels | Result / actual20–37Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput e5f3960b3e26 |
| 2026-09-13 · at PHI2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Jayden Daniels | Result / actual22–24Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput da64b6dcc554 |
| 2026-01-04 · at PHI2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Josh Johnson | Result / actual24–17Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 4be90643f617 |
| 2025-12-25 · vs DAL2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Josh Johnson | Result / actual23–30Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput d67001dcab08 |
| 2025-12-20 · vs PHI2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Marcus Mariota | Result / actual18–29Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 97589a545aae |
| 2025-12-14 · at NYG2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Marcus Mariota | Result / actual29–21Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 22d32578bfd1 |
| 2025-12-07 · at MIN2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Marcus Mariota | Result / actual0–31Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 523f1cc1ed73 |
| 2025-12-01 · vs DEN2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Marcus Mariota | Result / actual26–27Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 7a8f2d62eaaf |
| 2025-11-16 · vs MIA2025 REG · neutralStarting QB: Marcus Mariota | Result / actual13–16Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 1c8fd38e1dba |
| 2025-11-09 · vs DET2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Marcus Mariota | Result / actual22–44Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 80bb66bcbf2d |
| 2025-11-03 · vs SEA2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Jayden Daniels | Result / actual14–38Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 92ac2255c80f |
| 2025-10-28 · at KC2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Jayden Daniels | Result / actual7–28Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 8074193200bc |
| 2025-10-19 · at DAL2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Jayden Daniels | Result / actual22–44Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput e48f6ae15257 |
| 2025-10-14 · vs CHI2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Jayden Daniels | Result / actual24–25Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput a51a22e9c6bf |
| 2025-10-05 · at LAC2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Jayden Daniels | Result / actual27–10Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradewinFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 608c3d54350b |
| 2025-09-28 · at ATL2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Jayden Daniels | Result / actual27–34Team – opponent | Line / price—Not needed for a straight-up result | GradelossFinal score, including overtime | Source & timestampsnflverse/games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput b317feae7ca5 |
Methodology, coverage and 68 exclusions
Conditions are applied before the last 20 games are selected. Missing historical quotes are not skipped to fill a sample. REG · 2022–2026.
Selected book: draftkings. Last available pre-kickoff snapshot, no older than 24 hours. This is not an official closing line. Full game only; overtime included when verified by settlement policy.
Cutoff: 2026-10-28T20:46:00.000Z. 4 wins / 20 denominator. SU includes ties; ATS/total/prop rates exclude pushes, voids and missing data.
Historical frequency is not a forecast or proof of profitability.
Coverage is partial; this is not a career record.
Retrospective source data; not a point-in-time backtest.
Query 3b07f4eabeebbd59 · Input 3c63ed94bb1b39aa · nfl-research-1.0.4
- 2026_18_DAL_WAS: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_17_WAS_JAX: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_16_WAS_MIN: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_15_ATL_WAS: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_14_HOU_WAS: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_13_WAS_TEN: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_12_WAS_ARI: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_11_CIN_WAS: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_10_WAS_NYG: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_09_LA_WAS: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2026_08_PHI_WAS: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2024_21_WAS_PHI: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2024_20_WAS_DET: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2024_19_WAS_TB: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2025_03_LV_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_02_WAS_GB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_01_NYG_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_18_WAS_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_17_ATL_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_16_PHI_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_15_WAS_NO: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_13_TEN_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_12_DAL_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_11_WAS_PHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_10_PIT_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_09_WAS_NYG: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_08_CHI_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_07_CAR_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_06_WAS_BAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_05_CLE_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_04_WAS_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_03_WAS_CIN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_02_NYG_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_01_WAS_TB: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_18_DAL_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_17_SF_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_16_WAS_NYJ: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_15_WAS_LA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_13_MIA_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_12_WAS_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_11_NYG_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_10_WAS_SEA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_09_WAS_NE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_08_PHI_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_07_WAS_NYG: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_06_WAS_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_05_CHI_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_04_WAS_PHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_03_BUF_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_02_WAS_DEN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_01_ARI_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_18_DAL_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_17_CLE_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_16_WAS_SF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_15_NYG_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_13_WAS_NYG: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_12_ATL_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_11_WAS_HOU: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_10_WAS_PHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_09_MIN_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_08_WAS_IND: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_07_GB_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_06_WAS_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_05_TEN_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_04_WAS_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_03_PHI_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_02_WAS_DET: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_01_JAX_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
How to read this research
Straight up (SU) means who won the game. A tie remains a tie. Win rate is wins divided by wins, losses and ties.
Against the spread (ATS) means team score minus opponent score plus that team’s signed spread. Above zero covers; zero is a push. A −3 favorite must win by more than three to cover.
Line is the threshold. Price is the American odds attached to that exact threshold. Different thresholds are separate offers, not interchangeable prices.
Push means the result landed exactly on the threshold. Hit rate excludes pushes, voids and missing data; all stay visible in the evidence.
Historical frequency is not a forecast. Saves are research, not placed bets. No profit or ROI is inferred from missing prices.