Customize your comparison Team · situation · sample
Receiving yards · Jake Ferguson
Historical results
Small or incomplete sample: fewer than 8 resolved games. This result is not eligible for automatic featuring.
Mean 24.6 · Median 19.0 · 20 known actuals
| Game / season | Result / actual | Line / price | Grade | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 · at PHI2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Dak Prescott | Result / actual0Receiving yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2026.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 531d4d10f2b4 |
| 2026-10-19 · at GB2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Dak Prescott | Result / actual13Receiving yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2026.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput d141ca275de9 |
| 2026-10-09 · vs TB2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Dak Prescott | Result / actual19Receiving yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2026.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput e3de83f894d2 |
| 2026-10-04 · at HOU2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Dak Prescott | Result / actual11Receiving yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2026.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput de2c2d9bf340 |
| 2026-09-27 · vs BAL2026 REG · neutralStarting QB: Dak Prescott | Result / actual23Receiving yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2026.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput de6541d54ce6 |
| 2026-09-20 · vs WAS2026 REG · homeStarting QB: Dak Prescott | Result / actual43Receiving yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2026.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 13bd400bbf00 |
| 2026-09-14 · at NYG2026 REG · awayStarting QB: Dak Prescott | Result / actual6Receiving yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2026.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 56b1463248fe |
| 2026-01-04 · at NYG2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Dak Prescott | Result / actual5Receiving yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2025.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput dc349a215069 |
| 2025-12-25 · at WAS2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Dak Prescott | Result / actual6Receiving yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2025.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput cc0e30b95991 |
| 2025-12-21 · vs LAC2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Dak Prescott | Result / actual19Receiving yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2025.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 89716d2a9bfc |
| 2025-12-15 · vs MIN2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Dak Prescott | Result / actual16Receiving yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2025.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 0a77a6b10a47 |
| 2025-12-05 · at DET2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Dak Prescott | Result / actual58Receiving yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2025.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput f9ded5e43a65 |
| 2025-11-27 · vs KC2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Dak Prescott | Result / actual36Receiving yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2025.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 096f3df69e02 |
| 2025-11-23 · vs PHI2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Dak Prescott | Result / actual60Receiving yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2025.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput f93ca6d102d3 |
| 2025-11-18 · at LV2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Dak Prescott | Result / actual16Receiving yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2025.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput c300db0e1c36 |
| 2025-11-04 · vs ARI2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Dak Prescott | Result / actual50Receiving yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2025.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 4404996f18d7 |
| 2025-10-26 · at DEN2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Dak Prescott | Result / actual0Receiving yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2025.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 613679166071 |
| 2025-10-19 · vs WAS2025 REG · homeStarting QB: Dak Prescott | Result / actual29Receiving yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2025.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput c96c21c5c834 |
| 2025-10-12 · at CAR2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Dak Prescott | Result / actual33Receiving yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2025.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 2d89ab325718 |
| 2025-10-05 · at NYJ2025 REG · awayStarting QB: Dak Prescott | Result / actual49Receiving yards | Line / price—No qualifying quote | GrademissingNo qualifying pre-kickoff quote from the selected book | Source & timestampsnflverse/stats_player_week_2025.csv + games.csv (retrospective)No verified market timestampInput 3cb2a532304c |
Methodology, coverage and 48 exclusions
Conditions are applied before the last 20 games are selected. Missing historical quotes are not skipped to fill a sample. REG · 2022–2026.
Selected book: draftkings. Last available pre-kickoff snapshot, no older than 24 hours. This is not an official closing line. Full game only; overtime included when verified by settlement policy.
Cutoff: 2026-10-28T20:46:00.000Z. 0 wins / 0 denominator. SU includes ties; ATS/total/prop rates exclude pushes, voids and missing data.
Historical frequency is not a forecast or proof of profitability.
Coverage is partial; this is not a career record.
Retrospective source data; not a point-in-time backtest.
Player coverage includes reported box-score rows only. Missing appearances and zero-involvement rows are not established as DNPs.
Query 07e17008de6202e8 · Input 6a300ffa2f9c374f · nfl-research-1.0.4
- 2023_19_GB_DAL: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2022_19_DAL_TB: Outside selected season type, years or cutoff
- 2025_04_GB_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_03_DAL_CHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_02_NYG_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2025_01_DAL_PHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_18_WAS_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_17_DAL_PHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_16_TB_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_15_DAL_CAR: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_14_CIN_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_11_HOU_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_10_PHI_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_09_DAL_ATL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_08_DAL_SF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_06_DET_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_05_DAL_PIT: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_04_DAL_NYG: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_03_BAL_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2024_01_DAL_CLE: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_18_DAL_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_17_DET_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_16_DAL_MIA: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_15_DAL_BUF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_14_PHI_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_13_SEA_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_12_WAS_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_11_DAL_CAR: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_10_NYG_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_09_DAL_PHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_08_LA_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_06_DAL_LAC: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_05_DAL_SF: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_04_NE_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_03_DAL_ARI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_02_NYJ_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2023_01_DAL_NYG: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_18_DAL_WAS: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_17_DAL_TEN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_16_PHI_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_13_IND_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_12_NYG_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_11_DAL_MIN: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_08_CHI_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_07_DET_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_06_DAL_PHI: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_04_WAS_DAL: Outside last N qualifying games
- 2022_03_DAL_NYG: Outside last N qualifying games
How to read this research
Straight up (SU) means who won the game. A tie remains a tie. Win rate is wins divided by wins, losses and ties.
Against the spread (ATS) means team score minus opponent score plus that team’s signed spread. Above zero covers; zero is a push. A −3 favorite must win by more than three to cover.
Line is the threshold. Price is the American odds attached to that exact threshold. Different thresholds are separate offers, not interchangeable prices.
Push means the result landed exactly on the threshold. Hit rate excludes pushes, voids and missing data; all stay visible in the evidence.
Historical frequency is not a forecast. Saves are research, not placed bets. No profit or ROI is inferred from missing prices.


